STANFORD, CA — A Nobel laureate who accurately predicted that the new coronavirus outbreak in China would peter out sooner than expected, believes the crisis the United States and the rest of the world is experiencing will soon wane.
That’s according to a Los Angeles Times report in which Stanford biophysicist Michael Levitt, who believes that as long as we continue to follow reasonable social distancing guidelines, we can dial down the fear factor a few notches.
“What we need is to control the panic,” he told the Times, “we’re going to be fine.”
Levitt predicted with stunning accuracy that the outbreak in China would fizzle after noticing a decline in the rate of increase of coronavirus deaths.
He told the China Daily News three weeks into February that the coronavirus’ growth rate had peaked and predicted that China would experience approximately 80,000 COVID-19 cases and 3,250 deaths.
On March 16, China reported 80,298 cases and 3,245 deaths in a country of 1.4 billion in which approximately 10 million die each year. The number of cases has dropped to about 25 per day, with no reports of community spread COVID-19 since March 18.
Levitt sees similarly encouraging signs around the world, noting the number of confirmed cases in Iran has flattened.
“Numbers are still noisy but there are clear signs of slowed growth,” he told the Times.
Read more in The Los Angeles Times
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